Category: Belarus

Faced with Ukrainian resistance, the Russian armies change their strategy

While the Russian offensive is marking time in front of Kyiv and Kharkiv, and the cities given as Russian hands, such as Kherson and Berdyansk, continue to resist despite a very deteriorated situation for the Ukrainian defenders, the Russian armies seem to have he radically changed his strategy to overcome the Ukrainian resistance. Renouncing special operations and heavy use of airborne forces, Russian forces are reportedly engaging in a much more conventional doctrine, with massive attacks carried out by combined arms battalions backed by heavy support artillery and tactical aviation, leading to fears of a very rapid increase in losses...

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Faced with Europeans, the Russian Army in 2030 will be much more powerful than today

The present Russian-Ukrainian crisis, whatever its conclusion, will have enabled Moscow to make an extraordinary show of force in Europe, to the point that no European country, even those closest to kyiv, plans to engage militarily alongside the Ukrainian armies in case of conflict. And it is clear that these Russian armies have succeeded in mobilizing, moving and assembling around a hundred combined arms tactical battalions, the Russian equivalent of the French inter-arms tactical groups, i.e. 65% of its land operational force, and this between the of November and the beginning of February. For comparison, the Army of…

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These conflicts that threaten in 2022: Ukraine-Russia

If there was a significant factor in describing the year 2021, apart from the Covid crisis, it is undoubtedly the significant increase in direct tensions between many states, with the now very real risk of seeing the specter reappear. conflicts between great powers on a regional or even global scale. Furthermore, and contrary to the tensions and conflicts that marked the post-Cold War period, these wars in the making threaten, for the most part, to bring in their wake the opposition of nuclear super-powers, and even to have an effect trigger between them, so that the deterioration of the situation for one of them can have significant consequences on the…

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Is Germany ready to do anything to preserve Russian gas?

In recent weeks, tensions between Moscow and kyiv have again crossed not one, but several levels. Not only do the Russian armies continue to amass considerable troops on the borders of Ukraine, facing the Donbass or in the Crimea, but Russian internal propaganda has become very active in presenting Ukraine to Russian public opinion, but also NATO, as the aggressors and even the instigators of the current tensions. In addition, Moscow has now instrumentalized dictator Lukashenko's Belarus, not only by exploiting the waves of migrants from Iraq and Syria against Poland and the Baltic States, but also by artificially growing...

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Ukrainian and Western intelligence fear Russian winter offensive in Ukraine

The scenario is well known by now. According to satellite observations and Ukrainian and Western intelligence services, Russia is in fact massing a considerable armed force of nearly 100.000 men and around a hundred combat battalions on the Ukrainian border, facing Donbass and in Crimea. And once again, as was the case in March 2021, but also in 2019 and 2020, the fear of seeing Moscow launch an offensive against Ukraine reappears quite logically. According to the American intelligence services, the Russian armed forces would indeed already have more than sixty BTG (Battalion Tactical group),…

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Exercise Zapad-21: The Russian Army tests its new weapons

Of all the major four-year exercises of the Russian army, the Zapad exercise, which means West, is by far the one that carries the greatest symbolic value, as well as the one that attracts the greatest media attention, in Europe as well as in Russia. This year, it takes place for the most part in Belarus, while Vladimir Putin and Alexander Lukashenko have just signed a historic rapprochement agreement between the two countries, allowing the first to increase its hold on this Slavic state, and the second to protect his position at the head of it. But beyond its political and geostrategic aspects, part of the Russian forces...

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On the eve of the Zapad-2021 exercise, the rapprochement between Minsk and Moscow is accelerating

Each year, the Russian Armed Forces organizes a large major exercise taking place at the beginning of September. In a 4-year cycle, it takes place alternately in eastern Russia (Vostok), central Russia (Tzentr), in the Caucasus (Kavkaz), and in the western zone (Zapad). This year's exercise, Zapad-2021, whose culminating part will take place from September 10 to 16, will take place largely in Belarus, as well as around Saint Petersburg and in the enclave of Kalningrad, and will mobilize , in total, nearly 200.000 soldiers and civilians, even if the number of soldiers actually deployed by Russia for this exercise in Belarus will not exceed…

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Belarus reportedly uses Syrian and Iraqi migrants against Lithuania

For several years, Turkish President RT Erdogan used the threat of releasing waves of migrants from Syria, Iraq and more generally, from all over the Middle East, towards European shores, in order to make Brussels and the European chancelleries relent. . This strategy, which allowed Ankara to negotiate a €6 billion compensation agreement to keep these migrants on its soil. Obviously, the method has been emulated, since according to Lithuanian Interior Minister Agnė Bilotaitė, Minsk would now use a similar method to respond to European sanctions and in particular to the support provided by Lithuania to Belarusian opponents in exile. Corn…

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In a seemingly banal speech, V. Putin confirms his military supremacy over Europe

Finally, will the mountain have given birth to a mouse? In his annual speech to the Russian parliament, anxiously awaited by Russians, Ukrainians and Belarusians alike, Vladimir Putin finally made no startling announcement concerning the possible attachment of the secessionist Ukrainian provinces of Donbass or Belarus to the Federation of Russia. However, tensions remain at their highest in the two countries, while the gathering of Russian forces on the borders of Ukraine, and the deployment of security forces in Belarus remain very high. Without prejudging the future consequences of these two files, Vladimir Putin having a conference…

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Tensions at the highest between Russia, Ukraine and the West

According to a report by the European Union, the Russian armed forces would have assembled nearly 150.000 men in Crimea and along the border with the Ukrainian Donbass, making this deployment the largest since the end of the cold war. The EU, like all European capitals, as well as kyiv and Washington, are now more than openly worried about Russian maneuvers, all the more so as other factors indicate that the current crisis is now spreading to beyond Ukraine, to become a major crisis between the West and Russia. Reports of Russian military build-up on Ukrainian borders have multiplied in recent days…

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