Azerbaijan, Turkey, China: The risks of conflicts of opportunity grow on the uncertainties in Ukraine

By attacking Ukraine in February 2022, Russia will not only have endangered peace and security in Europe, but worldwide. Indeed, many latent conflicts, constrained by the joint action of Moscow and the European and American capitals, are emerging again, to the point that one can fear that major conflicts may even arise in several places around the world, some of which could potentially further undermine the difficult economic balances on which the West is built. In recent days, some of its theaters have flared up, or are showing signs of extreme tension, as the Russian armies...

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Iran's acquisition of Russian Su-35s could set fire to the Middle East

While the Russian intervention in Ukraine profoundly changed European geopolitics and triggered a major energy crisis, its influence on global geopolitics had so far been relatively moderate. As time goes by, some countries seem inclined to take advantage of Russia's relative isolation on this international scene, to their own advantage. This is the case of North Korea, which has intensified its exchanges with Moscow in recent weeks, in particular by offering available and very cheap labor to support the Russian war effort, in particular for major works. infrastructure and agricultural needs. In exchange, Pyongyang intends that Moscow lifts the…

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Israeli engineers reportedly extended F-35i range to strike Iran without aerial refueling

The Israeli Air Force is said to have modified some of its F-35i Adir, the version of the Lighting II adapted to the needs of the Hebrew State, to extend their autonomy enough to be able to carry out deep strike missions in Iran if necessary. , while the IAF has been actively training for this mission for several months. The Iranian nuclear program is perceived as an existential threat by the Israeli authorities, and the IAF has been actively training for several years to be able, if necessary, to be able to strike at critical Iranian installations in order to deprive Tehran of its nuclear capabilities. In this area, the Israeli Air Force could, until now, only rely on…

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Geopolitical Webinar "Iran and its Issues"

Date: March 17, 2022 from 9:00 a.m. to 19:00 p.m. Format: Webinar Registration: theo.nencini@gmail.com Introduction: With the resumption of negotiations on the nuclear issue and faced with the prospect of the succession of the current Supreme Guide, the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Islamic Republic of Iran is entering a delicate phase of its existence. The regime in place in Tehran finds itself in a paradoxical situation of internal fragility and external strength. Internally, the grabbing of power by the hardest conservative wing confirms that the maintenance of power by the Shiite clergy takes precedence over the demands emanating from a population…

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Ukraine, Taiwan, Middle East: The worst-case scenario for the Pentagon takes shape

Only 5 years ago, American military supremacy was such that no one imagined that any international actor could come to challenge the military victory in the United States on the conventional level. Since then, things have changed a lot. Three years ago, simulations began to appear showing that the United States and its allies were no longer able to intervene with the necessary and sufficient forces on two major fronts, for example in Europe against Russia, and in Middle East versus Iran. Two years ago, with the entry into service of some new weapon systems, such as the Russian Kinzhal hypersonic missile,…

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Israel claims attack on Iranian freighter MV Saviz in response to Iranian attacks

On March 25, the Lori, a container ship flying the Israeli flag, was hit by an Iranian missile in the Arabian Sea, causing no injuries or casualties. It is in response to this new attack against its merchant ships that the Jewish state organized the attack on the Iranian cargo ship MV Saviz, a ship identified for several months by the American secret services as a naval action platform. for the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. According to information communicated by the New York Times quoting an American official, the Israeli services would have positioned a naval mine under the waterline of the ship before making it...

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Israel, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and UAE reportedly discuss military alliance against Iran

The enemy of my enemy is my friend, says an Italian proverb. And it is true that there is nothing more effective than a pressing and major threat to bring nations that everything has opposed up to now, to discover links and form alliances. One naturally thinks of the United States and the Soviet Union during the Second World War, but such examples are strewn throughout the history of humanity, beyond continents, eras and cultures. However, imagine only a few months ago that Jerusalem, Riyadh, Abu Dhabi and Manama could negotiate, albeit unofficially, a military alliance outside of American supervision,...

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The 7 main defense challenges of 2021

2020 was a year of extraordinary intensity in terms of defence, both politically and technologically. And whatever some media say, it is very likely that 2021 will be in the same vein, with increasingly intense international friction, accelerating global rearmament, and increasingly clear-cut national positions, all leading to an increase in number and intensity of crises. Certain subjects will have to be followed with great attention in the weeks and months to come, because they will very likely be able to condition the Defense issues for 2021 and the years to come. The Defense Policy…

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US Forces in Middle East on High Alert for Fear of Iranian Retaliation

After Israel, and without much surprise, it is the turn of the American armed forces positioned in the Persian Gulf and nearby to be put on alert. Indeed, according to the confidences of an American official collected by the Politico.com site, the United States would have detected intriguing warning signs linked to the preparation of Iranian attacks, in particular on the part of Iranian militias present in Iraq. . The Pentagon seems to take these threats very seriously, whether they are retaliation for the assassination of Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh in the suburbs of Tehran by an apparently well-trained and prepared armed group, an attack attributed by Iran at the Mossad...

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Israel reportedly anticipates US strike on Iran before Donald Trump's term ends

Is this a way to try to contain a possible response from Tehran following the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, this scientist designated as the father of the Iranian nuclear program, killed on November 28 in the suburbs of Tehran by an armed commando while he was traveling on the highway, an assassination attributed to the Israeli secret services by Tehran? Be that as it may, according to the Israeli news site Axios, citing statements by Jewish state officials, the Israeli armed forces are anticipating, in the coming weeks and before the end of President Trump's presidential term, US strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities. According to the site, although…

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