Can Germany become the pillar of European Defense in the making?

The Russian aggression against Ukraine has shattered many certainties in Europe concerning the security reality of the old continent. The country which is today most severely affected by these changes is none other than the one which announced on February 27, barely 4 days after the start of the Russian offensive, the most radical change in its own policy, abandoning 30 years of Soft-Power and OstPolitik for spectacular measures to modernize and strengthen its armed forces, with an immediate envelope of €100 billion and an annual budget that will be increased beyond the 2% of GDP demanded by the NATO since...

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The lessons in Ukraine contradict the military paradigms inherited from the Gulf War

Very few, on the evening of February 24, 2022, the date of the start of the Russian offensive in Ukraine, had imagined that after 3 weeks of war, the Russian forces would have made so little progress in the country, at the cost of such heavy losses. . Thus, an article surreptitiously published on the so-called pro-Kremlin tabloid Komsokolskaja pravda yesterday, reported nearly 10.000 killed and more than 16.000 wounded within the Russian armies according to his staff, this not taking into account the losses of his Wagner and Chechen auxiliaries. Although such allegations may be questionable, it must be recognized that this level of…

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Is Russia tipping towards a war of attrition in Ukraine?

Since the beginning of its invasion of Ukraine, the Russian armies have encountered many difficulties, partly linked to an obvious lack of performance and effectiveness of its own forces, but also to the exceptional combativeness and tactical Intelligence Ukrainians themselves. In fact, despite a very marked advantage in terms of firepower, technology and air capabilities, the first 3 weeks of this war in Ukraine were marked by a difficult advance of the Russian armies in the country, and losses of an intensity forgotten since the Second World War or the Korean War. So, in 24 days...

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Can Russia still impose itself militarily in Ukraine?

“The Special Military Operation in Ukraine is proceeding according to plan”. This is how General Igor Konashenkov, spokesman for the Russian Defense Ministry, presented his daily briefing yesterday, Thursday March 10, after 15 days of war. However, many information radically contradict this statement, and it seems, on the contrary, that this military operation which was to be only a formality for the super-powerful Russian army, is turning into a veritable quagmire for Vladimir Putin. Faced with appalling losses in man and material, a difficult progression, distended lines, a Ukrainian resistance much more efficient and determined than envisaged as well as a response and mobilization...

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How will the war in Ukraine transform strategic planning in Europe?

Just 3 weeks ago, very few in the West believed that Russia was indeed going to wage a global war of aggression on Ukraine. For many, the deployment of Russian force around Ukraine was intended to make President Zelensky bend over his NATO membership and the status of the breakaway republics of Donbass. For the best informed, like the General Staff of the French Armies, and as we discussed in an article of February 23, the military and political risks associated with such an offensive did not outweigh the potential benefits, so that such a decision appeared irrational and therefore little…

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The 5 Western Weapons Ukrainian Forces Need the Most Today

For 12 days now, the Ukrainian Armed Forces and Territorial Defense have managed to resist the Russian offensive, despite an obvious tightening of the adversary's rules of engagement, when it is obvious that it is not will have no chance of a quick victory or of gaining the support or even the neutrality of the vast majority of the Ukrainian population. Initiated prior to the conflict by the United States and certain European countries, arms deliveries to the Ukrainian forces now play a decisive role in their ability to maintain pressure on the units taking part in the Russian offensive, striking effectively supply convoys and blocking certain offensives, in…

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Have we overestimated the Russian Armies?

Since the beginning of the Russian offensive against Ukraine, the armies of the Kremlin have been closely observed by military specialists. This is, in fact, the first massive deployment of these armies since the invasion of Georgia in 2008, an operation which revealed many serious shortcomings within them. However, as in 2008, it appears that the Russian Armies are the subject of significant difficulties, even though the reforms of 2008 and 2012 were designed specifically to correct them and bring the Russian Armies to a much higher operational standard than that observed in the field. Under these conditions, and in view of the observations made on...

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The 5 critical failings of Russian forces in Ukraine

To say that on the 7th day of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the operations did not go as expected by the Russian General Staff, is obviously an understatement, to the point that now Moscow is restructuring its offensives to respect a strategy much more classic based on the extraordinary firepower of Russian artillery and bombing aviation. However, these first days of combat made it possible, through numerous observations widely analyzed by the OSINT community, to identify several critical failures affecting the Russian forces engaged in this operation. Surprisingly, some of these failures precisely affect reputed areas of excellence of the Russian army, and in fact raise questions about…

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Faced with Ukrainian resistance, the Russian armies change their strategy

While the Russian offensive is marking time in front of Kyiv and Kharkiv, and the cities given as Russian hands, such as Kherson and Berdyansk, continue to resist despite a very deteriorated situation for the Ukrainian defenders, the Russian armies seem to have he radically changed his strategy to overcome the Ukrainian resistance. Renouncing special operations and heavy use of airborne forces, Russian forces are reportedly engaging in a much more conventional doctrine, with massive attacks carried out by combined arms battalions backed by heavy support artillery and tactical aviation, leading to fears of a very rapid increase in losses...

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First lessons of the Russo-Ukrainian war

5 days after the start of the Russian offensive against Ukraine, it is now possible to better understand the strategies implemented by the various protagonists, and to learn the first lessons concerning the operational capacities of the belligerents, and thus to better understand and anticipate possible developments in this conflict and tensions in Europe. The Russian Invasion Plan and the Ukrainian Defensive Strategy Clearly, the strategy employed by the Russian forces since the beginning of the conflict responds to a meticulously elaborated and long-standing invasion plan. The Russian armies came very close to obtaining total operational surprise by leading no…

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