Russia reportedly deploys Indian T-90S Bhishma to Ukraine, without New Delhi deal

A photo published surreptitiously before being removed from Telegram messaging could well create a major incident between India and Russia. Until now, New Delhi had, like China, maintained a relatively neutral posture regarding the intervention of Russian forces in Ukraine. For the Indian authorities, it was, until recently, a purely European problem, which did not deserve to fall out with Moscow, moreover one of its main allies and suppliers of defense systems. The Indian positions had already evolved significantly after the announcement of the annexation by Moscow of the oblasts of Luhansk, Donetsk, Zoporijjia and Kherson, even if…

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Russia-Ukraine: the first conflict of the OSINT era

Do you know the term OSINT? It is an acronym in English meaning Open Source Intelligence, or Information on Public Data in French. This methodology was popularized by the Bellingcat group created in July 2014 by Eliot Higgins, which notably engaged in the analysis of data relating to the destruction of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 shot down on July 17 of the same year, demonstrating the involvement of Russian BUK systems in the destruction of the aircraft. Later, this same Bellingcat group demonstrated the involvement of agents of the GRU, the Russian military intelligence services, in the poisoning of the former Russian agent Sergeï Skripal and his daughter…

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British Destroyer HMS Defender targeted by Russian warning fire in Black Sea

This is a very serious event between the Royal Navy anti-aircraft destroyer HMS Defender and the Russian naval and naval air forces. According to Russian media, Moscow naval forces twice opened fire on the British destroyer HMS Defender, when it penetrated 3 km into Russian territorial waters surrounding Crimea. At 12:06, then at 12:08, warning shots were fired at the British ship to force her to leave the area. At 12:19, a Su-24M fighter-bomber of the Russian Naval Air Force also reportedly dropped 4 OFAB-250 bombs upstream of the…

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New tensions between the United States and China around Taiwan

Observing the evolution of tensions between the United States and China around Taiwan gives the impression of witnessing a series of events leading inevitably to a dramatic accident. And clearly neither Beijing nor Washington now intends to try to find an alternative to a potentially armed confrontation. Thus, since the beginning of 2021, the Chinese air and naval forces have multiplied demonstrations of force by organizing exercises near the island whose independence is not recognized by Beijing. On their side, the United States, with increasingly strong support from its direct Japanese, Australian and…

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After Taiwan, Chinese Navy tries to intimidate Japan

Clearly, Beijing seems very keen to show its new-found naval power to its neighbors, especially those who do not bow down enough to fulfill the ambitions of the Indo-Pacific superpower. Indeed, after having multiplied the major naval exercises near the island of Taiwan, it is now Japan's turn to take advantage of the force deployments of the Chinese fleet, in this case with a new deployment of the carrier battle group of the aircraft carrier Liaoning in the Miyako Strait, and around the island of Diaoyu (Chinese name) in the Senkaku archipelago, whose Beijing disputes the membership in Tokyo. This deployment of…

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In a seemingly banal speech, V. Putin confirms his military supremacy over Europe

Finally, will the mountain have given birth to a mouse? In his annual speech to the Russian parliament, anxiously awaited by Russians, Ukrainians and Belarusians alike, Vladimir Putin finally made no startling announcement concerning the possible attachment of the secessionist Ukrainian provinces of Donbass or Belarus to the Federation of Russia. However, tensions remain at their highest in the two countries, while the gathering of Russian forces on the borders of Ukraine, and the deployment of security forces in Belarus remain very high. Without prejudging the future consequences of these two files, Vladimir Putin having a conference…

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Ukraine threatens to equip itself with nuclear weapons if it fails to join a military alliance "like NATO"

Tensions between Ukraine, the West and Russia came to a head again yesterday, when Russian authorities announced they were closing maritime transit through the Kerch Strait, which separates the Black Sea from the Sea of 'Azov, to all foreign military vessels, effectively isolating part of the Ukrainian coast, and in particular the port of Mariupol, as well as its naval units present in the Sea of ​​Azov. With this posture, Moscow prevents any preventive deployment of Western ships in this Sea, deployments which would be likely to pose significant problems in the event of conflict between Russia and Ukraine. In the same…

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Is a Maskirovka on the way over Russian-Ukrainian tensions?

Popularized by the excellent "Red Storm" by Tom Clancy and Larry Bond, the author of the no less excellent naval war simulation Harpoon, the Maskirovka is an intelligence operation aimed at creating from scratch a casus belli justifying the legitimate engagement of forces. The novel, which describes a hypothetical conflict between the Soviet Union and NATO against a backdrop of an energy crisis, presents an evolved scenario concerning this Soviet Maskirovka, intended to mobilize the population around an attack against NATO following an attack aimed at the elites of the Communist Party, supposedly carried out by the German secret services, while at the same time, the armies were undergoing a…

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The Georgian scenario is taking shape in Ukraine

In 2008, a Russian army corps of 90.000 men dislocated the Georgian defenses in just 5 days, after the fiery Georgian President Saakashvili ordered his forces to seize the Ossetian city of Tskhinvali, which provoked the death of 16 soldiers from the "IEC interposition force" present on the spot. But this narrative is only part of the story, for in the weeks leading up to this ill-advised assault by a Georgian president overconfident of the support of his Western allies, Ossetian forces, equipped and trained by Moscow , and largely made up of Russian soldiers, harassed the…

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China increases naval and air exercises around Taiwan

It has now been several years since the Democratic Progressive Party returned to power in 2016 with the election of Tsai Ing-wen, a staunch opponent of unification with the People's Republic of China, as President of the Republic of Taiwan. that tensions cease to grow between Taipei and Beijing. Tensions that have been greatly exacerbated by the Trump presidency, the latter's economic coup policy against China, and the very significant increase in arms sales to Taipei in recent years. But until now, the demonstrations of force of the People's Liberation Army had remained measured, and always...

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