Last week, an analysis published by the think tank Rand Corporation studied the risks linked to the extension in the duration of the Ukrainian conflict, as well as the solutions that could be put forward by Washington to contain them. Like most of the studies published by the Rand, this one was at the same time very relevant, documented and objective, in the diagnosis as in the recommended solutions. However, this one started from a basic postulate which requires a certain prudence as for the applicability of the results presented: indeed, this study studied the conflict in Ukraine only from the point of view of the action of Washington and its…
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Leopard 2, Mamba, Patriot, Marder… Europeans are massively increasing their military support for Ukraine
For several days now, the atmosphere of an imminent decisive battle has prevailed in European chancelleries. Indeed, after months and months of procrastinating on the offensive or defensive nature of this or that equipment, or multiple pas de trois to justify certain decisions, it seems that a majority of the major European capitals are now moving towards support massive contribution to the Ukrainian defense effort, within shorter timeframes than usual. The beginning of the year was thus marked by the French decision to deliver Bastion troop transport vehicles, and especially light tanks (or armored reconnaissance vehicles for those…
Read the articleGermany under pressure to accept delivery of Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine
" Why me ? This is probably a phrase that German Chancellor Olaf Scholz must be saying to himself, as the war in Ukraine began just weeks after he formed his coalition government. Indeed, beyond the difficult consequences from the economic and energy point of view of this conflict, in particular in Germany which depended considerably on Russian gas before the war, it has been the subject, since the beginning of the conflict, of numerous criticisms and pressures about Berlin's military aid to Kyiv. And while Germany has already made a certain conceptual revolution by agreeing to deliver small arms,…
Read the articleOnce again, President RT Erdogan opposes NATO membership of Sweden and Finland
Not surprisingly, Turkish President RT Erdogan announced last Friday that he would oppose Sweden and Finland joining NATO, despite recent efforts by Stockholm and Helsinki to meet the requirements of the Turkish authorities. As before, the Head of State explains his decision, which turns out to be a blocker for the accession of the two Scandinavian countries to the Atlantic Alliance since it requires unanimity of votes, by the policies followed by the two countries. in matters of asylum, and in particular with regard to certain members of the Turkish Workers' Party or designated as such by Ankara, but also with regard to…
Read the articleRussia reportedly deploys Indian T-90S Bhishma to Ukraine, without New Delhi deal
A photo published surreptitiously before being removed from Telegram messaging could well create a major incident between India and Russia. Until now, New Delhi had, like China, maintained a relatively neutral posture regarding the intervention of Russian forces in Ukraine. For the Indian authorities, it was, until recently, a purely European problem, which did not deserve to fall out with Moscow, moreover one of its main allies and suppliers of defense systems. The Indian positions had already evolved significantly after the announcement of the annexation by Moscow of the oblasts of Luhansk, Donetsk, Zoporijjia and Kherson, even if…
Read the articleErdogan mobilizes his nationalist electorate by threatening Greece with an attack without warning
For a while, it looked like Turkish President RT Erdogan was trying to redeem his virginity vis-à-vis his NATO partners and the United States after Russia attacked Ukraine. Initially firm with Moscow, Ankara notably supported Ukrainian defense by delivering TB2 Bayraktar drones, which quickly became one of the symbols of the country's resistance, and by closing the straits leading to the Black Sea in order to prevent the Russian Navy from transfer ships there. At the same time, Turkey was pressuring Washington and the White House to authorize the acquisition of new F-16 fighters and…
Read the articleDeprived of F-16V, the Turkish president threatens to reinstate his veto on the accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO
3 days ! That's how long it took President RT Erdogan to once again threaten a Turkish veto on Sweden's and Finland's membership of the Atlantic Alliance, after the US Congress voted , on the occasion of the vote of the 2023 finance law of the US armed forces, two amendments which hinder the possibilities of exporting the F-16 Viper but also other defense technologies to Ankara. Of course, the subjects not being supposed to be officially linked, President Erdogan publicly takes umbrage at the lack of “responsiveness” of the Swedish authorities concerning the request for the extradition of 33 refugees to…
Read the articleAt Shangri-La meetings, Chinese war rhetoric goes up a notch against the West
Speaking at the Shangri-La meetings, Chinese Defense Minister Wei Fenghe said that the reunification between the People's Republic of China and Taiwan would unquestionably take place, and that China would fight "to the end" against anyone who tries to oppose it. Begun in 2002, the Shangri-La Dialogue, organized each year in Singapore by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, brings together some fifty countries from the Pacific theater for political and security discussions. In recent years, however, these meetings have become the site of verbal sparring and growing invective between China and the Western camps, particularly about Taiwan autonomy. This…
Read the articleDid Sweden shoot itself in the foot regarding its NATO candidacy?
In order to protect her Minister of Justice from a vote of no confidence, Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson negotiated an agreement with Swedish MP Amineh Kakabaveh of Kurdish origin and former Peshmerga, guaranteeing her not to give in to Turkish demands regarding the Swedish membership in NATO. Since the announcement of Finnish and Swedish candidacies to join the Atlantic Alliance, Turkish President RT Erdogan has shown himself to be very hostile to this possibility, blaming the two Scandinavian countries not only for the arms embargo pronounced by Stockholm against Ankara, but also a complacent policy towards Kurdish refugees, and in particular members of the YPG and…
Read the articleWith the delivery of Slovak S-300PMUs, the West shifts into high gear to support Ukraine
While since the beginning of the conflict, the West had been confined to reacting on the international scene against Russia, in particular by delivering only light or defensive armaments to Ukraine, the dynamic seems to have evolved considerably in recent days. Thus, after the announcement of the delivery of several dozen T-72M1 tanks and BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles from the reserves of the Czech army, it is the turn today of Slovakia to announce the transfer of its unique S-300PMU long-range anti-aircraft defense battery to Ukraine, information confirmed by Slovak Prime Minister Edouar Heger on Twitter. Britain, from its…
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