Romania, Philippines, Argentina, Indonesia…: Naval Group's Scorpene submarine on short final in several countries

In aeronautics, the term “final” designates the trajectory of an aircraft once it is aligned with the runway and on a glide path leading to landing. The "short final", meanwhile, refers to the few seconds before touchdown, when the landing is, so to speak, inevitable. This term is in fact perfectly suited to the situation in which Naval Group's Scorpene conventional submarine finds itself today in several international competitions, in Romania, the Philippines, Indonesia and Argentina, with significant chances that one or more of these navies choose the French submarine in the coming weeks to…

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Australia's Hunter-class frigate program could also be at risk

The rise in power of the Chinese armed forces, and in particular of the Navy of the People's Liberation Army, poses an unprecedented threat to Australia since the end of the second world. While during the Cold War, the Commonwealth Island essentially played the role of a rear base for American forces and a leading ally of Washington, the arrival of new long-range strike capabilities, but also ships capable of to carry out oceanic combat within the Chinese fleet, led Australian strategists to return to many programs launched only a few years ago, the most emblematic…

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For the Pentagon, Russian military power remains very important, especially in the submarine field

For many specialists in military matters, the losses suffered by the armies in Ukraine, whether in terms of men or equipment, will have considerably eroded the potential harm and threat that Russia can pose to its neighbours, and in particular on NATO, apart from the strategic and nuclear capacities which all agree to recognize that they remain a major threat. And the fact is, with nearly 200.000 killed, wounded, captured or missing, and some 10.000 pieces of major equipment, including nearly 2000 tanks, 3500 armored fighting vehicles and almost a thousand artillery pieces of various types destroyed, abandoned or captured , the means by which…

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Why does Western Europe seriously underestimate the future of the Russian military threat?

Prior to the Russian offensive against Ukraine in February 2022, the vast majority of analysts considered that the Russian armed forces had formidable military power at least on par with the NATO armies deployed in Europe. In fact, it was reasonable to consider that Ukraine and its armed forces, having almost 10 times less budgetary means each year than their adversaries, could not resist an offensive led by Moscow for very long, unless they carried out an in-depth reflection on the reality of the ground and Ukrainian defensive capabilities. Anyway, after a few weeks of fighting, it soon became clear that…

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The Russian Navy wants to scrap its Saint-Petersburg submarine only 14 years after its delivery

Presented for the first time at the end of the 90s, just as Russia was going through one of the greatest economic and political crises in its history, dealing a terrible blow to its defense industry, the Lada-class conventional submarines, project 677, were to mark the revival of the production of this type of ship by Moscow. Very ambitious, the program included a very advanced integration of digital technologies to reduce the crew to only 35 men, against more than 50 for the 636 Improved Kilo they were to replace. In addition, research had been started to equip the ship with a…

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Romania could order Scorpène submarines from Naval Group this year

Like many European countries, Romania considerably reduced its defense effort from the 2000s, when the country joined NATO in 2004 and the European Union in 2007. Indeed, it went from 2,5% of GDP in 2000 to 1,2% of GDP in 2012. However, due to a very dynamic economy with a GDP multiplied by 7 between 2000 and 2020, defense spending has experienced a rising steadily, from $1 billion in 2000 to $2,4 billion in 2012. And like a majority of Eastern European countries, Bucharest undertook, from…

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How can an amendment to the LPM give armies the equipment they will lack in 2030?

Since its presentation to the Council of Ministers on April 4, a lot has been said or written about the future Military Programming Law. If the members of the presidential majority rightly see it as an unprecedented effort in favor of the armies, their opponents most often underline its shortcomings and shortcomings, in the face of rapid changes in the international context, which is just as justified. The fact, objectively, if the budgetary effort made by the government is indisputable, it is however not sufficient to give back to the armies deeply handicapped by 25 years of under-investment, the means which...

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Canada set to launch replica of 2015 Australian competition to build 12 conventional submarines

Contrary to the vast majority of the European member countries of NATO, Canada, a founding member of the Alliance, has not, for the time being, presented a firm budgetary trajectory to achieve a defense effort of 2% of its GDP. However, and despite a starving defense effort of only 1,35% of GDP and a budget of $23 billion (us) in 2023, the country has undertaken, in recent years, several major programs to modernize its armies, including the acquisition of 88 F-35A combat aircraft to replace the 76 CF-18s still in service, but also 15 British F-26 heavy frigates to replace the 12 frigates of…

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Between ambition and disappointment: the new French military programming law under constraints

After several months of official statements, more or less intentional leaks and speculation, the new French Military Programming Law was unveiled yesterday. This will frame the French defense effort between 2024 and 2030, whether it is the budget devoted by the State to the mission, but also the format objectives and the industrial programs in progress or to come. Despite a sharply increased budget with €400 billion in state credits and €13 billion in exceptional revenue over the next 7 years, i.e. 35% more than the previous LPM, this will not allow reconstruction of the French Armed Forces for…

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Netherlands looks to US and Israel for long-range strike capabilities

Since the start of the Russian aggression against Ukraine, the Netherlands has been one of the European countries that has changed its defense posture the most. From May 2022, Amsterdam announced an increase of €5 billion in its defense investments, i.e. a growth of 40%, to reach by 2024 a defense effort of more than 2% of the country's GDP, where it does not was only 1,41% in 2021, and that it was envisaged in 2020 to drop from the NATO defense objective. Two months later, in July, the Dutch authorities published a very ambitious new White Paper, providing in addition to the increase in…

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