Germany, Poland, Slovakia: European tanks soon in Ukraine?

How far we have come since the day after the start of the Russian offensive in Ukraine, a German diplomat reportedly replied to his Ukrainian counterpart that there was no sense in sending military equipment to the Ukrainian armies, since the latter would be swept away in a few days. In fact, for the past few days, declarations have multiplied in Europe, and more generally in the whole of the Western camp, in favor of much more sustained support given to Ukraine in terms of defense equipment, including the heavy equipment requested for several weeks by Kyiv to stand up to the waves of assault launched by Moscow. Already, last week, Prague had confirmed…

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With the delivery of Slovak S-300PMUs, the West shifts into high gear to support Ukraine

While since the beginning of the conflict, the West had been confined to reacting on the international scene against Russia, in particular by delivering only light or defensive armaments to Ukraine, the dynamic seems to have evolved considerably in recent days. Thus, after the announcement of the delivery of several dozen T-72M1 tanks and BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles from the reserves of the Czech army, it is the turn today of Slovakia to announce the transfer of its unique S-300PMU long-range anti-aircraft defense battery to Ukraine, information confirmed by Slovak Prime Minister Edouar Heger on Twitter. Britain, from its…

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How will the war in Ukraine transform strategic planning in Europe?

Just 3 weeks ago, very few in the West believed that Russia was indeed going to wage a global war of aggression on Ukraine. For many, the deployment of Russian force around Ukraine was intended to make President Zelensky bend over his NATO membership and the status of the breakaway republics of Donbass. For the best informed, like the General Staff of the French Armies, and as we discussed in an article of February 23, the military and political risks associated with such an offensive did not outweigh the potential benefits, so that such a decision appeared irrational and therefore little…

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The Russian-Ukrainian conflict after 36 hours of fighting

While the Russian offensive against Ukraine began a little over 36 hours ago, the information concerning the conduct of operations by the two belligerents, but also the reality of the fighting relayed by the OSINT community and by the few journalists who remain on the spot, already make it possible to draw the first lessons of this war, but also of the operational capacities of the two armies. More than 160 ballistic and cruise missiles fired in 24 hours If the Russian forces implemented Kalibr cruise missiles fired from corvettes and submarines positioned in the Black Sea and…

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What is Russia's conventional military might today?

In 2015, in reference to Russian military interventions in Crimea and Syria, President B. Obama declared that Russia was no more than a regional force in decline. Today, while Moscow has massed nearly 100.000 men on the borders of Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that his country's military power is sufficient to enable him to impose firm conditions on European countries regarding the future of his neighbour. Considering the discretion of all the European powers in this matter, it is clear that, for none of them, Russia is today a negligible military power, and even then...

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With Admiral Nakhimov, Russia will have the most powerfully armed cruiser in 2023

The Soviet Kirov-class nuclear cruisers were, when they entered service in 1980, considered the most powerful surface naval units in existence, with the exception of aircraft carriers, and forced the US Navy to recommission 4 Missouri-class WWII battleship, to try to balance things out. Heavily armed, with nuclear propulsion and a crew of 800 officers and sailors, these ships had unparalleled firepower until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Over the next 30 years, two of the cruisers, the Kirov renamed Admiral Ushakov, and the Frunze renamed Admiral Lazarev, were retired…

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What are the lessons of the war in Nagorno-Karabakh?

Along with the Donbass conflict, the war that has just ended in Nagorno-Karabakh has been one of the rare conflicts involving heavy state military means on both sides of the belligerents in recent years. New tactics and new equipment have been used massively, raising their effectiveness but also their limits in a high-intensity environment. Staff throughout the world have all been working, since the beginning of this conflict, on the analysis of engagements and the effectiveness demonstrated or not by each of these facilities. Without prejudging the conclusions that these analyzes may make, it is however possible to draw…

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Destruction of S-300 battery on Armenian soil may drag Russia into conflict

The ceasefire between Azerbaijan and Armenia under the aegis of Russia and the Minsk contact group hardly lasted. If sporadic exchanges of fire were reported on both sides this weekend, the fighting resumed at the start of the week. And this Wednesday, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev announced that the drones and stray ammunition used by his forces had destroyed more than 200 armored vehicles, as well as 2 Armenian S-300 batteries. Problem, according to independent observations, if one of these batteries was indeed deployed in Nagorno-Karaback, the other was in function on Armenian soil,…

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Between F15 and F35, Israel chooses the 2!

Despite a public deficit of around 3,8% in 2019, the Israeli military authorities announced two new orders for combat aircraft, to equip a new squadron of F35i and a squadron of F15i, i.e. 25 aircraft of each type , for an amount exceeding $3 billion. Far from being a non-decision, the Israeli Air Force considers that the combination of the performance of these two aircraft is the most likely to meet the challenges to come in the region. It was in 2010 that Israel placed a first order for 19 F35i with the United States, a version of the F35A carrying certain electronic equipment and armaments of Israeli origin. A second…

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Rapid deterioration of the situation in Syria following the use of chemical weapons

As evidence of the use of chemical weapons in Douma on April 7 mounts, and France and the United States have called for an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council, a missile attack on the Syrian air base of Tiyas, also called T4, was carried out on the night of April 8 to 9, causing more than a dozen deaths among the Syrian and Iranian soldiers present on the spot. After initially accusing the United States and France, Russia, and Syria, now point the finger at Israel, whose two F-15s allegedly fired 8 cruise missiles against this base, in order to prevent “the…

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