How the war in Ukraine reshuffles the cards about Conscription and the Reserve?

Like many Western armies, France put an end to conscription in 1997, to turn to an entirely professional army, on a model inspired by Great Britain. This decision was based both on the reduction in the threat following the fall of the Soviet bloc, and on a restructuring imposed by the new missions entrusted to the French armies, largely based on external operations in which conscripts could not participate. As for the protection of the Nation, it was in fact entrusted to the sole deterrence, deemed necessary and sufficient to ensure the protection of the national space but also of…

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Germany, Poland, Slovakia: European tanks soon in Ukraine?

How far we have come since the day after the start of the Russian offensive in Ukraine, a German diplomat reportedly replied to his Ukrainian counterpart that there was no sense in sending military equipment to the Ukrainian armies, since the latter would be swept away in a few days. In fact, for the past few days, declarations have multiplied in Europe, and more generally in the whole of the Western camp, in favor of much more sustained support given to Ukraine in terms of defense equipment, including the heavy equipment requested for several weeks by Kyiv to stand up to the waves of assault launched by Moscow. Already, last week, Prague had confirmed…

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Do Russian abuses in Ukraine serve a military objective?

Since the start of the withdrawal of Russian forces around and north of Kyiv, testimonies and evidence of numerous abuses carried out by Russian soldiers against the civilian population have rapidly multiplied. If there is still time today for the investigation, it now seems that these were not the work of isolated soldiers, but of a coordinated action carried out with the approval of the Russian command. At the same time, direct attacks against civilian populations, apart from any military target, have also increased significantly in recent weeks, particularly in and around Donbass. If the debate today revolves mainly around the responsibilities concerning…

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Should European military support for Ukraine be increased?

Very few, even among the best informed, had imagined that after 5 weeks of combat, the Russian Special Military Operation would be so contained by the Ukrainian defenders, and that the Russian armies would have suffered material and human losses as well. important. However, today, despite its extraordinary firepower and air force, it is the Russian army that goes into a defensive position on many fronts, and even retreats in the face of certain Ukrainian counter-attacks, especially around Kyiv. However, this perception given both by the Western media and by the very efficient Ukrainian war communication, does not allow…

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The lessons in Ukraine contradict the military paradigms inherited from the Gulf War

Very few, on the evening of February 24, 2022, the date of the start of the Russian offensive in Ukraine, had imagined that after 3 weeks of war, the Russian forces would have made so little progress in the country, at the cost of such heavy losses. . Thus, an article surreptitiously published on the so-called pro-Kremlin tabloid Komsokolskaja pravda yesterday, reported nearly 10.000 killed and more than 16.000 wounded within the Russian armies according to his staff, this not taking into account the losses of his Wagner and Chechen auxiliaries. Although such allegations may be questionable, it must be recognized that this level of…

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Is Russia tipping towards a war of attrition in Ukraine?

Since the beginning of its invasion of Ukraine, the Russian armies have encountered many difficulties, partly linked to an obvious lack of performance and effectiveness of its own forces, but also to the exceptional combativeness and tactical Intelligence Ukrainians themselves. In fact, despite a very marked advantage in terms of firepower, technology and air capabilities, the first 3 weeks of this war in Ukraine were marked by a difficult advance of the Russian armies in the country, and losses of an intensity forgotten since the Second World War or the Korean War. So, in 24 days...

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Can Russia still impose itself militarily in Ukraine?

“The Special Military Operation in Ukraine is proceeding according to plan”. This is how General Igor Konashenkov, spokesman for the Russian Defense Ministry, presented his daily briefing yesterday, Thursday March 10, after 15 days of war. However, many information radically contradict this statement, and it seems, on the contrary, that this military operation which was to be only a formality for the super-powerful Russian army, is turning into a veritable quagmire for Vladimir Putin. Faced with appalling losses in man and material, a difficult progression, distended lines, a Ukrainian resistance much more efficient and determined than envisaged as well as a response and mobilization...

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How will the war in Ukraine transform strategic planning in Europe?

Just 3 weeks ago, very few in the West believed that Russia was indeed going to wage a global war of aggression on Ukraine. For many, the deployment of Russian force around Ukraine was intended to make President Zelensky bend over his NATO membership and the status of the breakaway republics of Donbass. For the best informed, like the General Staff of the French Armies, and as we discussed in an article of February 23, the military and political risks associated with such an offensive did not outweigh the potential benefits, so that such a decision appeared irrational and therefore little…

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Cacophony within NATO over Polish MiG-29s

Yesterday evening we published an article (to avoid any confusion, it has been deleted and is accessible for information at the end of this article) concerning the announced decision of Warsaw to transfer its Mig-29 fighter planes to the American base of Rammstein in Germany, suggesting that the United States would ensure the delivery of these fighters to the Ukrainian air force in order to support the defense effort against Russian aggression. In the same press release, the Polish authorities announced that they would replace the aircraft offered indirectly to Ukraine, by acquiring second-hand combat aircraft with the same capabilities as those of its Mig-29s, suggesting that …

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How the Russian-Ukrainian war redrawn the world geopolitical map in a few days?

Beyond the heroic resistance of the Ukrainians and their president against the Russian forces, and the obvious change of strategy in the Kremlin's attack plan returning to a more conventional but also much more violent strategy vis-à-vis the civilian populations, Vladimir Putin's decision to launch this offensive against Ukraine has provoked, on an international scale, a geopolitical tidal wave of unprecedented magnitude since the fall of the Berlin Wall. Because if the Russian soldiers have seriously underestimated the resistance capacity of the soldiers but also of the Ukrainian civilians, the Kremlin has, for its part, deeply underestimated the unity and the response that will be demonstrated…

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