By announcing the delivery of Iskander-M missiles to Belarus, V.Putin launches a new major crisis in Europe

In 1997, NATO and the Russian Federation signed a bilateral agreement committing, in particular, the two parties not to extend their respective tactical nuclear strike capabilities beyond their existing format. In other words, NATO undertook not to deploy nuclear weapons beyond the 5 countries participating in the Alliance's shared deterrence (Germany, Belgium, Italy, the Netherlands and Turkey), whereas Russia pledged not to deploy or transfer its nuclear weapons beyond its borders. In fact, when during a new meeting with his Belarusian counterpart Alexander Lukashenko, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia…

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The United States fears the trivialization of Russian and Chinese “blackmail to deterrence”

Barely a few days after the start of military operations in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin ordered, in a very publicized manner, his Chief of Staff and his Minister of Defense to put the Russian strategic forces on high alert, in response the first round of sanctions from the United States and Europe against Russia in response to this aggression. Since then, Moscow has repeatedly repeated its strategic threats in an attempt to prevent the West from interfering in the ongoing conflict, and to provide growing support to the Ukrainians. If this did not prevent the United States, Great Britain and many European countries from delivering armaments...

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How will the war in Ukraine transform strategic planning in Europe?

Just 3 weeks ago, very few in the West believed that Russia was indeed going to wage a global war of aggression on Ukraine. For many, the deployment of Russian force around Ukraine was intended to make President Zelensky bend over his NATO membership and the status of the breakaway republics of Donbass. For the best informed, like the General Staff of the French Armies, and as we discussed in an article of February 23, the military and political risks associated with such an offensive did not outweigh the potential benefits, so that such a decision appeared irrational and therefore little…

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The Russian-Ukrainian conflict after 36 hours of fighting

While the Russian offensive against Ukraine began a little over 36 hours ago, the information concerning the conduct of operations by the two belligerents, but also the reality of the fighting relayed by the OSINT community and by the few journalists who remain on the spot, already make it possible to draw the first lessons of this war, but also of the operational capacities of the two armies. More than 160 ballistic and cruise missiles fired in 24 hours If the Russian forces implemented Kalibr cruise missiles fired from corvettes and submarines positioned in the Black Sea and…

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Turkish F16 reportedly shot down Armenian Su-25 in Azerbaijan

While the UN Security Council will meet on the subject this evening in New York, the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno Karabakh may well have reached a new stage this afternoon. . Indeed, according to the Armenian Defense Ministry, a Turkish F16 having taken off from an Azerbaijani air base would have shot down an Armenian Su-25 attack plane engaged in a bombing mission in Nagorno-Karabakh. According to Chuchan Stepanian, spokesperson for the Armenian Defense Ministry, the pilot of the aircraft did not survive. If the information were to be confirmed, it would be a significant escalation of the conflict, with…

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Turkey at the heart of a node of polymorphic crises in the Eastern Mediterranean

By misuse of language, reference is generally made to the strong tensions between Greece and Cyprus and Turkey when it comes to the crisis in the Eastern Mediterranean. This theater concentrates, in reality, a large number of actors, all with different objectives, and yet all in tension as a result of the out-of-control behavior of the Turkish president in the area. France, Russia, Egypt, Israel, European Union, all are today involved in a crisis which could have considerable implications. President Erdogan has indeed launched, in recent years, a series of military operations and troop movements that have led all of his neighbors, such as…

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North Korea to fire 2 new ballistic missiles in Sea of ​​Japan

On Saturday March 21, both South Korean and Japanese surveillance systems detected two consecutive ballistic missile launches from North Korea. The weapons flew over 450 km and peaked at 50 km before crashing into the Sea of ​​Japan. This is the third attempt of this type since the beginning of March, even as South Korea tries to emerge, apparently successfully, from the coronavirus epidemic which had hit it hard from from mid-February. If these shots triggered official protests from regional capitals, as well as from Washington, it…

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With Laika class, Russia wants a non-nuclear deterrent submarine

In an interview published by the Russian Armed Forces newspaper Krasnaya Zvezda (Red Star), Admiral Nikolai Yevmenov provides an update on the developments of the new class of 5th generation attack submarines which will enter service during the next decade in the Russian Navy. Designated Laika class, named after the first dog to be sent into space, this program, previously identified by the name "Husky", is set to become the central model of the Russian nuclear submarine range for several decades. . The program is only in the general design phase, and it is obviously far too early to…

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Are Turkish forces planning a major offensive in Syria?

Following the serious clashes on February 11 between the Syrian armed forces on their way to retake the city of Idlib, and the Turkish army present around the city, which killed more than 125 people on both sides, the President Turkish RT Erdogan had promised, on February 12, a massive and widespread response to strike the Syrian forces “wherever they are”. It now appears that the Turkish Armed Forces are indeed preparing to walk the talk. Indeed, according to Arabic-language media quoted by the Tass agency, a military convoy of more than 300 trucks and armored vehicles would have been…

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The first American submarine equipped with tactical nuclear war missiles to set sail

During the Cold War, both sides had missiles and bombs with low-power nuclear payloads, intended for use not against opposing cities or industrial infrastructure, but against military forces. We were talking then about tactical nuclear weapons. The doctrine of the time wanted it to be possible to make use of these weapons, without exceeding the threshold triggering strategic fire, namely the reciprocal elimination of the adversaries with intercontinental ballistic missiles implementing strategic nuclear charges of several hundreds of kilograms. Already at the time, many voices were raised against such scenarios, judging that it was impossible...

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