Is Germany ready to do anything to preserve Russian gas?

In recent weeks, the tensions between Moscow and Kiev have again crossed not one, but several levels. Not only do the Russian armies continue to mass considerable troops at the borders of Ukraine, facing Donbass or Crimea, but Russian domestic propaganda has become very active in presenting Ukraine to Russian public opinion, but also NATO, as the aggressors and even the instigators of the current tensions. In addition, Moscow has now instrumentalised the Belarus of dictator Lukashenko, not only by exploiting the waves of migrants from Iraq and Syria against Poland and the Baltic States, but also by artificially increasing tensions between Minsk and Kiev, and by starting joint military maneuvers as close as possible to the northern border of Ukraine, thus suggesting a significant Russian military presence in the country. Finally, the Russian authorities have moved the cursor of their own red lines concerning Ukraine, now believing that the simple transfer of weapons to Kiev would constitute an intolerable act of aggression against Russia.

While no one can fully guarantee that Moscow will or will not launch an offensive against Ukraine in the coming weeks, it is now a given that everything is in place, on the Russian side, so that this offensive can take place in the short term. Under these conditions, apart from preparing militarily to withstand the shock of one of the most powerful armed forces on the planet, Kyiv can now do little more than count on the support of its Western and European partners to dissuade Moscow from 'initiate such action. One thing is now certain, this support will not come from Germany! It is indeed in this situation, which is more than tense and dramatic for millions of Ukrainian Europeans, that Berlin has decided to take the lead, by sending several emissaries to Washington in order to convince the American Congress to not to include the new NordStream 2 gas pipeline in the list of US sanctions against Moscow, if the latter were to launch the offensive against Ukraine. It also seems that this is the only concern of the German authorities in recent months, since this process was initiated as soon as Joe Biden arrived at the White House, precisely to exclude NordStream 2 from any American retaliatory measure against Russia. .

The biggest concern in the Ukrainian crisis for Berlin is the possible sanctions imposed by the US Congress against the NordStream 2 pipeline

German envoys arrived in Washington with a list of sanctions Berlin would take in the event of a Russian attack on Ukraine, based primarily on a public campaign to denounce Russian actions. It is true that despite the current tensions, the risks of contagion and the consequences of such a crisis in Europe, the European media have so far been particularly discreet on the subject. There is no doubt that for a majority of Europeans, the Ukrainian crisis, if it were to spread, would be a surprise, as the media blackout is so powerful on this subject. In addition, Berlin promises the US Congress that it will take possible measures concerning German energy imports from Russia, but excluding from the Nord Stream 2 spectrum. Finally, Berlin promises to participate actively in the European process aimed at implementing new sanctions against Russia where appropriate. There is no doubt that after such threats, Moscow's determination to act is absolutely unchanged, even encouraged, since the largest European economy, and the most influential country within European institutions, is now announcing already that it will act neither economically nor militarily against Russia if the latter were to attack Ukraine.


The rest of this article is for subscribers only

Full-access articles are available in the “ Free Items“. Subscribers have access to the full Analyses, OSINT and Synthesis articles. Articles in the Archives (more than 2 years old) are reserved for Premium subscribers.

From €6,50 per month – No time commitment.


Related posts

Meta-Defense

FREE OF CHARGE
See